Archive for January, 2016

#rzw on Twitter – January 31, 2016 at 11:05PM

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January 31, 2016 at 11:05PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 31, 2016 at 07:12PM

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#rzw on Facebook – January 31, 2016 at 07:12PM

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#rzw on Facebook – January 31, 2016 at 07:12PM

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#rzw on Twitter – January 31, 2016 at 05:46PM

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January 31, 2016 at 05:46PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 31, 2016 at 05:34PM

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January 31, 2016 at 05:34PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 31, 2016 at 05:24PM

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7:12PM: It’s no secret that I’m not a fan of fear mongering and excessive hype when it comes to weather forecasting. In fact, if you know me personally, you know I have a personal crusade against outlandish information when it comes to weather topics. If you’ve been watching a prominent national weather outlet on cable television or seen several outrageous viral Facebook posts today, it might seem reasonable based on what they’re saying that Tuesday is the end of the world due to our potential severe weather threat. Here are the facts with no spin and no hype, specifically catered to people in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida as they stand right now…

1) A line of strong thunderstorms will likely develop to our west on Tuesday and move east toward our area. There could be a few storms out ahead of the main line that produce isolated tornadoes and damaging straight line winds.

2) The greatest threat for severe weather will clearly be to our north. In Alabama, places in and around Florence, Muscle Shoals, Russellville, and Hamilton have the greatest chance of experiencing severe weather. The whole state of Alabama along with northwest Florida has a slight risk of storms on Tuesday into the overnight hours. A slight risk, very similar to what we have had in our previous severe weather events over the past month. See the included map for more details…

3) A few significant tornadoes could happen, but they will likely happen in north Mississippi and western Tennessee.

4) 2PM to 2AM is our main 12 hour main window for storms in our region. Storms can happen outside this timeframe, but this is the main window. I’ll be refining this in the hours ahead based on model/radar trends.

5) A friendly reminder… Facebook won’t show you all of the RedZone posts over the next 48 hours as this event unfolds. If you want to see our posts every time we post critical information, it’s very easy to do. Visit the RedZone Weather Facebook Page from your mobile device, tap Following, then tap See First. This will ensure you see all of our posts at the top of your feed when you check your News Feed. See the included third picture for more.

6) Again, this is nothing unusual, unlike what others may have us think. We are very familiar with severe weather events just like this in the Deep South.

7) We’re going to be just fine, as long as we all receive urgent weather warnings and take action if/when a tornado warning is issued. One way to know these things is our free texting program. It’s very easy to opt-in, and I greatly appreciate everyone who has been helping spread the word about this free service. I’ve included a picture for further instructions if you know someone who wants to sign up.

8) Thanks for hanging with me as we prepare for yet another severe weather event. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best! January 31, 2016 at 05:24PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 31, 2016 at 01:09PM

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January 31, 2016 at 01:09PM

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#rzw on Twitter – January 31, 2016 at 12:52PM

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January 31, 2016 at 12:52PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 31, 2016 at 08:20AM

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January 31, 2016 at 08:20AM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 31, 2016 at 08:19AM

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January 31, 2016 at 08:19AM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 30, 2016 at 11:52PM

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CLOUDY TODAY; STORMY TUESDAY… 1) We will start today mostly cloudy and likely end the day completely overcast. Temperatures will be too warm for the last day of January… Near 75° this afternoon. Rain chances are low today. 2) We have a significant severe weather potential setting up for Groundhog Day on Tuesday. The greatest risk of storms will be to our north. The greatest combination of the severe weather “ingredients” will be over northwest Alabama, north Mississippi, and western Tennessee. The greatest risk for potentially damaging storms in Alabama will be north and west of a line extending from Livingston to Tuscaloosa to Jasper to Decatur. This means locales like Russellville, Fayette, Muscle Shoals, Hamilton, and Aliceville have the higher risk for significant tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail. 3) Please understand that basically the entirety of Alabama and northwest Florida has at least a marginal to slight risk of severe storms on Tuesday, and by no means am I suggesting that strictly northwest Alabama will have all the issues. A lot can change in the next 36-48 hours. I’ll be watching trends closely. 4) rzweather.com is where I’ll have the live video stream if we have tornado warnings across southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. 5) I’ll have a full #rzw video discussion of the severe weather potential around 1PM today. Be sure to join me for that! Have a great Sunday! January 30, 2016 at 11:52PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 30, 2016 at 08:14PM

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January 30, 2016 at 08:14PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 30, 2016 at 02:17PM

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2:17PM: SEVERE THREAT TUESDAY… 1) Details are coming into better focus concerning the Alabama/NW Florida severe weather potential on Groundhog Day, aka Tuesday. 2) While there will almost certainly be a slight or slightly elevated risk for severe storms across south Alabama, the greatest combination of the severe weather “ingredients” will be over northwest Alabama, north Mississippi, and western Tennessee. The greatest risk for potentially damaging storms in Alabama will be north and west of a line extending from Livingston to Tuscaloosa to Jasper to Decatur. This means locales like Hamilton, Fayette, Aliceville, Russellville, and Muscle Shoals have the moderate to high risk for tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail. 3) Please understand that basically the entirety of Alabama and northwest Florida has at least a marginal to slight risk of severe storms on Tuesday, and by no means am I suggesting that strictly northwest Alabama will have all the issues. We’re still four days out from this event, and a lot can change in the next 96 hours. 4) NOW is the time to prepare for the potential severe weather. Have a way to receive urgent weather warnings… The apps Weather Radio and myWarn are two that are available for smart phones. Also, feel free to bookmark rzweather.com in your internet browser. That is the in-development RedZone Weather website. Our live stream is always at the top of the site, meaning all you have to do to see the live stream during tornado warning events is go to rzweather.com. 5) What a glorious Saturday that is in progress! Temperatures have climbed to the low 70s in many spots across the region.
Direct Photo Link: http://ift.tt/1JQ10RJ January 30, 2016 at 02:17PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 30, 2016 at 02:05PM

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January 30, 2016 at 02:05PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 30, 2016 at 11:17AM

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January 30, 2016 at 11:17AM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 30, 2016 at 12:54AM

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TUESDAY STORMS… 1) I’m growing increasingly concerned that a few strong, long track tornadoes will be possible on Tuesday. 2) Confidence is increasing that the greatest severe weather threat will be over north Alabama, north Mississippi and the western half of Tennessee, however all modes of severe weather will be possible across the state of Alabama and across the Deep South on Tuesday. This means tornadoes (perhaps a few intense ones), damaging straight line winds, and large hail will all be possible. 3) A line of storms will likely form to our west, with supercell thunderstorm development possible ahead of the main line. We’ll be watching these “precursor” storms for the potential for tornadoes. Most spots across Alabama will pick up about one half inch of rain from this system, meaning flooding is not a significant concern right now. 4) It seems like the greatest chance for severe weather across southwest Alabama and northwest Florida will be Tuesday, February 2nd after 3PM. There certainly could be a few issues Wednesday morning as well. The best way I can connect with you directly is through our texting program. If you haven’t already, simply text the word UPDATES to the number 51660 to get all of our important weather updates sent straight to your cell phone. 5) Let’s end on a positive note… Sunny skies continue all day today with high temperatures approaching 72° this afternoon. Clouds increase tomorrow, but mild temperatures are set to continue. Enjoy the day! January 30, 2016 at 12:54AM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 29, 2016 at 10:32PM

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January 29, 2016 at 10:32PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 29, 2016 at 06:47PM

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January 29, 2016 at 06:47PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 29, 2016 at 01:37PM

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January 29, 2016 at 01:37PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 29, 2016 at 01:37PM

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January 29, 2016 at 01:37PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 29, 2016 at 12:02PM

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TORNADOES POSSIBLE TUESDAY: Here are the 5W highlights… WHERE? The Storm Prediction Center has included most of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida in the “15% risk zone” for severe weather on Tuesday, February 2. A large chunk of north Alabama, north Mississippi, and north Tennessee are in a significant “30% risk zone.” This means that there’s a 15 and 30 percent chance, respectively, of experiencing severe weather within 25 miles of a given point in the shaded areas. Please see the included map for more details. What makes the 30% hatched area rare is this is on the Day 5 Outlook. This event is slated to happen Tuesday, yet there’s already a significant confidence that severe weather will happen. WHAT? Tornadoes, perhaps a few significant ones, will be possible. I expect a line of storms to form to the west, with supercell thunderstorm development possible ahead of the main line. We’ll be watching these “precursor” storms for the potential for tornadoes. Most spots across Alabama will have at least one half inch of rain due to this system moving through. WHEN? It seems like the greatest chance for severe weather will be Tuesday, February 2 in the afternoon and evening hours. There certainly could be a few issues Wednesday morning as well. WHY? A strong trough in the upper atmosphere will enable an associated surface low pressure area to move from the western U.S. to near Oklahoma before it treks northeast, with a trailing cold front causing many scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Deep South on Tuesday afternoon/evening. Instability in the atmosphere will be higher across Alabama in than in previous severe weather events over the past few weeks. Winds approximately 5,000 feet off the ground associated with the low-level jet stream will be strong, and it won’t take much to get those strong winds down to the surface. WHO? This event will involve all of us in Alabama and northwest Florida. The best way I can connect with you directly is through our texting program. If you haven’t already, simply text the word UPDATES to the number 51660 to get all of our important weather updates sent straight to your cell phone. I’ll do my best to have live video streaming coverage should we have tornado warnings on Tuesday.
Direct Photo Link: http://ift.tt/1JMtCLH January 29, 2016 at 12:02PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 29, 2016 at 12:09PM

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January 29, 2016 at 12:09PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 29, 2016 at 07:04AM

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January 29, 2016 at 07:04AM

#rzw on Twitter – January 28, 2016 at 10:37PM

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January 28, 2016 at 10:37PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 28, 2016 at 10:35PM

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January 28, 2016 at 10:35PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 28, 2016 at 04:02PM

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January 28, 2016 at 04:02PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 28, 2016 at 03:05PM

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January 28, 2016 at 03:05PM

#rzw on Facebook – January 28, 2016 at 10:52AM

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10:53AM: Fantastic sunrise view over Brewton Middle School this morning… Thanks to Assistant Principal Leah Fuqua for sharing! Great picture.
Direct Photo Link: http://ift.tt/1Qvh3DH January 28, 2016 at 10:52AM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 28, 2016 at 07:02AM

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January 28, 2016 at 07:02AM

#rzw on Twitter – January 27, 2016 at 11:10PM

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January 27, 2016 at 11:10PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 27, 2016 at 03:13PM

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3:14PM: A few early evening notes… 1) Strong to severe storms are possible across the South on Groundhog Day (Tuesday, February 2nd). This event is still 6 days out. 2) Normally I would barely mention something like this publicly, just because a LOT can (and will) change between now and then. Here’s the difference in this situation versus most that we deal with… Models are in strong agreement that severe weather will happen, and this is six days out. Normally, we have a wide variety of model solutions, but the major models are in agreement, for now. The Storm Prediction Center has already included this potential event in their convective outlook for severe weather, which is fairly rare for six days in advance. See the graphic below for the included areas. Keep in mind that this graphic can and will change in the days ahead once more parameters come into a better focus. 3) A cold front will likely move through Alabama on Sunday night. While no severe weather will likely happen then, the front will likely stall across central Alabama. In the past, that scenario has allowed for higher moisture content and instability values for the second front that will move through in the daytime hours of Tuesday, if model trends continue. 4) These are my headlines for now… Severe storms are possible Tuesday. Is it a certainty at this point? No. Will strong/severe storms/tornadoes affect your city/town in southwest Alabama? Possibly. It’s too soon to say with confidence. The best thing we all can do is be prepared. If you haven’t already opted in to our weather text messages, be sure to do so. It’s very simple. All you have to do is text the word UPDATES to the number 51660 in your cell phone’s text messaging app. Also, be sure to visit rzweather.com in the days ahead as we continue to watch this developing story…
Direct Photo Link: http://ift.tt/23u6pEt January 27, 2016 at 03:13PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 27, 2016 at 10:35AM

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January 27, 2016 at 10:35AM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 27, 2016 at 10:24AM

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January 27, 2016 at 10:24AM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 27, 2016 at 10:23AM

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January 27, 2016 at 10:23AM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 27, 2016 at 09:06AM

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January 27, 2016 at 09:06AM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 27, 2016 at 07:04AM

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January 27, 2016 at 07:04AM

#rzw on Twitter – January 27, 2016 at 12:01AM

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January 27, 2016 at 12:01AM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 26, 2016 at 07:13PM

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January 26, 2016 at 07:13PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 26, 2016 at 06:23PM

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January 26, 2016 at 06:23PM
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#rzw on Instagram – January 26, 2016 at 05:08PM

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5:10PM: Moderate to heavy rain is about to begin across Escambia County, Alabama. Places like Brewton, East Brewton, Flomaton, Canoe, Wawbeek, Wallace, Pineview, and Atmore… Have those #umbrellasup.
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#rzw on Twitter – January 26, 2016 at 05:06PM

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January 26, 2016 at 05:06PM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 26, 2016 at 04:50PM

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January 26, 2016 at 04:50PM

#rzw on Facebook – January 26, 2016 at 10:32AM

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10:35AM: A quick mid-morning update on the Alabama/northwest Florida weather situation… 1) Isolated showers have popped up near Molino, Century, and Canoe. Heavier showers are also in progress near Creola and the “Dolly Parton Bridge” of Interstate 65. Showers and storms will increase in coverage over the next few hours across our region. 2) A long band of moderate rain extends from near Guntersville to the western suburbs of Birmingham to Moundville right now. Heavier rain has started in Tuscaloosa and Jasper. This band of moderate rain will move southeast in the hours ahead, meaning a soggy afternoon for metro Birmingham. 3) While a few thunderstorms are possible, severe weather is not anticipated today. Clearly, most of the storms will happen across southwest Alabama. If you’re traveling to central/north Alabama today, heavy rain will be the primary issue with thunderstorms unlikely there. 4) A cold front is sliding through the state right now, meaning much cooler temperatures are likely tomorrow. I’ll be surprised if our area cracks 50 degrees tomorrow. Don’t put away those sweaters and vests just yet!
Direct Photo Link: http://ift.tt/1TlGRoy January 26, 2016 at 10:32AM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 26, 2016 at 10:18AM

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January 26, 2016 at 10:18AM
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#rzw on Facebook – January 26, 2016 at 07:04AM

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January 26, 2016 at 07:04AM

#rzw on Twitter – January 26, 2016 at 12:52AM

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January 26, 2016 at 12:52AM
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#rzw on Instagram – January 25, 2016 at 09:20PM

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9:21PM: A few evening notes… 1) Temperatures are in the mid-50s across south Alabama and northwest Florida. 55° in Brewton, 56° in Monroeville, 55° in Thomasville. Perfect for a fire! ? 2) Rain becomes likely in the morning… Showers are likely then. Heavier, consistent rain is likely in the afternoon and evening. 3) A few thunderstorms are possible tomorrow but I’m not expecting severe weather. We’ll be watching! #rzw
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#rzw on Facebook – January 25, 2016 at 09:01PM

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8:56PM: A few evening notes… 1) Temperatures are hovering in the mid-50s right now across southwest Alabama and northwest Florida: 55° in Brewton, 55° in Thomasville, 56° in Monroeville. Skies are overcast. It’s perfect weather for a fire! I know I can’t be the only one doing this tonight?! ? 2) Rain becomes likely tomorrow morning. Showers are likely with heavier, more consistent rain in the afternoon and evening hours. 3) There could be a few thunderstorms tomorrow, but severe weather isn’t expected at this time. We’ll keep you posted.
Direct Photo Link: http://ift.tt/23pAxkb January 25, 2016 at 09:01PM
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#rzw on Twitter – January 25, 2016 at 08:54PM

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January 25, 2016 at 08:54PM
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